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Footnotes – August 2025

In our meeting today, we will focus on some of the economic differences between the short-term and long-term perspectives, as well as the impact the short-term dimension has on the long-term outlook.

One of the clear risks on the radar today is the valuation of the public market, mainly driven by technological advancements in Artificial Intelligence.

The impact of Artificial Intelligence has created a level of concentration in the stock market that we have never witnessed before. We believe this level of concentration is typically a risk in all markets; however, the extreme levels of concentration Artificial Intelligence has created today pose a level of risk not seen since the dot-com bubble in 2000.

Footnotes – July 2025

Today’s presentation discusses the period labeled as Dot-Com in the late 1990s vs today’s market characterized by the emergence of Artificial Intelligence(A.I.) Our goal is to make note of both the similarities and the differences while avoiding the likely downturn brought on by the maturation of the eventual “S Curve” which seems to emerge during each technology cycle.

In our meeting today, we will mainly focus on the risks in today’s public markets, while hoping our investment portfolio naturally benefits from the positives.

Footnotes – June 2025

In this meeting, we will focus our discussion on the process of creating a Wish List. We will cover what a Wish List is, why it makes sense to create one, when it is appropriate to create one, and how to build one over time.

This topic has surfaced over the last 4 months several times, as we have been showing you that

Most public markets are priced for perfection,

Speculation is abundant, and

Policy is changing rapidly.

Historically, this combination of events has led to unsettling volatility at best and, at worst, could force a significant repricing of assets lower. What drives this cautionary outlook?

May 2025 “First Friday” Market Outlook – The “All Weather” Portfolio Review

The Abernathy Group Family Office’s May 2025 “First Friday” presentation will review the holdings within our All-Weather Portfolio. What is our “Base-Case” for the Stock Market’s foreseeable future? What is our “Base-Case” for the Bond Market’s foreseeable future? How do we expect each of our investments to react to: Economic Downturn? / Economic Stability? / […]

Footnotes – May 2025

Today’s presentation discusses “The All-Weather Portfolio.” When should an investor implement an All-Weather portfolio allocation? Why does a more stable, higher-quality, dividend-generating investment stance offer a beneficial shelter during most economic storms? Along with the benefit of safe money, earning a reasonable return while waiting for use after the markets return to a more welcoming valuation?

April 2025 “First Friday” Market Outlook – Questions and Answers

April’s “First Friday” Topics: What Is The Market Getting Wrong? Tariffs? Energy Demand? Recession Possibility Increases Most likely Indicators As Bad as the 2007-9 Global Financial Crisis? Worse? The Future: What Is Our “Base Case” for Stock Market – 5-10 Years? Why? Artificial Intelligence Dominates all Topics Today… Are We Overbuilding It? Global Diversification: Will […]

Footnotes – April 2025

Today’s Presentation is “Questions and Answers – Today’s Most Important Family Office Questions.”

Good afternoon, everyone. My name is Steven Abernathy, and I, along with my co-host Matthew Daley, will be your host today. 

Welcome to the Abernathy Group Family Office’s April 2025 “First Friday” meeting.

In this meeting, we will focus our discussion on six truly important questions that all intelligent investors must answer.

February 2025 “First Friday” Market Outlook – Intelligent Investment Themes for 2025

February’s First Friday Topics: Administrational, Technological, and Economic Changes Create High Probability Investment Themes for 2025 and Beyond Overvalued Markets Challenge Intelligent Investment Themes – Beware The Global Economy Continues to Polarize; Do Tariffs Accelerate Global Bifurcation? Why Are Markets Overvalued? What keeps us up at night? Click here to view the corresponding Footnotes Summary […]